Usman Nurmagomedov vs Archie Colgan preview: the records behind the Lightweight title fight

Usman Nurmagomedov meets Archie Colgan at Lightweight at PFL New York: Nurmagomedov vs. Colgan, listed as the main event and a title fight. The card is scheduled for 31 July 2026 at UBS Arena in Elmont, USA.

Everything below is counted from the bout histories and computed career measures stored on this site. There is no training-camp reporting here and no scouting: this page compares two records and the price the market is charging.

The line

FanDuel has Usman Nurmagomedov at 1.16 and Archie Colgan at 5.00. That is the only book quoting this bout in the feed this site reads.

Reading the market means reading both sides of one book together. That market is FanDuel, at 1.16 / 5.00: 86.1% for Usman Nurmagomedov and 20.0% for Archie Colgan, summing to 106.1% because the book's margin sits inside both figures. Taking that margin back out leaves 81.2% / 18.8%. Prices as recorded at 11:35 UTC on 29 July 2026; a line can move after that.

The records

Usman Nurmagomedov

• Stored record: 21-0 (1 NC) over 22 completed bouts.
• Wins by route: 8 by KO/TKO, 7 by submission, 6 by decision.
• Finish rate: 15 of 21 wins ended inside the distance (71%).
• Durability: stopped in 0 of 22 recorded bouts (0%), counted across every bout rather than losses alone.
• Average bout length: 10:04, from the 22 of 22 bouts with a round and time recorded.
• Current run: 4 straight wins in the stored history.
• Title-fight experience: 7 title bouts and 8 main events in the stored history, across every promotion in it.
• Activity: 4 completed bouts in the trailing 24 months.
• Against the Lightweight cohort — the 613 fighters in that division with eight or more recorded bouts — finish rate 55th, durability 84th and activity 89th percentile.

Archie Colgan

• Stored record: 13-0 over 13 completed bouts.
• Wins by route: 5 by KO/TKO, 1 by submission, 7 by decision.
• Finish rate: 6 of 13 wins ended inside the distance (46%).
• Durability: stopped in 0 of 13 recorded bouts (0%), counted across every bout rather than losses alone.
• Average bout length: 10:22, from the 13 of 13 bouts with a round and time recorded.
• Current run: 13 straight wins in the stored history.
• Title-fight experience: no title bouts in the stored history, 0 main events.
• Activity: 3 completed bouts in the trailing 24 months.
• Against the Lightweight cohort — the 613 fighters in that division with eight or more recorded bouts — finish rate 18th, durability 84th and activity 83rd percentile.

Where the records differ

• finish rate: Usman Nurmagomedov 55th percentile, Archie Colgan 18th — a gap of 37 percentile points to Usman Nurmagomedov.
• durability: level, both in the 84th percentile of the division.
• activity: Usman Nurmagomedov 89th percentile, Archie Colgan 83rd — a gap of 6 percentile points to Usman Nurmagomedov.
• Averaged across those measures Usman Nurmagomedov is 14 percentile points ahead. That is a description of two records against the Lightweight field, not a forecast: these measures say how a fighter has won and how hard they have been to stop, and neither is a claim about this bout.