Cage Brothers
UpcomingEvents
TODAYSEP 12UFC
Delgado
VS
Silva
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado
IN 3DSEP 15
Perea
VS
Hunt
Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 6
IN 7DSEP 19
Pantoja
VS
Van
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
SEP22
TBA
VS
TBA
Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7
SEP26
Barcelos
VS
Jr.
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
SEP29
TBA
VS
TBA
Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8
OCT3
Cong
VS
Silva
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
OCT6
TBA
VS
TBA
Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 9
OCT10
Duncan
VS
Allen
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
OCT10PFL
Medkouri
VS
Kane
2026 PFL Africa: Morocco
OCT13
TBA
VS
TBA
Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10
OCT17
Bishop
VS
Carmouche
PFL Chicago: Carmouche vs. Bishop 2
OCT17
Malott
VS
Buckley
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
OCT24
Evloev
VS
Volkanovski
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling preview: the Light Heavyweight records side by side
Preview

Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling preview: the Light Heavyweight records side by side

Event
UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez
Aug 1, 2026
Belgrade
View full fight card →

Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling at Light Heavyweight, 1 August 2026. Finish rates, durability, streaks and the current moneyline, counted from the records stored here.

Jan Blachowicz meets Navajo Stirling at Light Heavyweight at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, on the main card. The card is scheduled for 1 August 2026 at Belgrade Arena in Belgrade, Serbia.

Jan Blachowicz is ranked #4 at Light Heavyweight in the UFC rankings. Navajo Stirling is ranked #15 at Light Heavyweight in the UFC rankings.

Everything below is counted from the bout histories and computed career measures stored on this site. There is no training-camp reporting here and no scouting: this page compares two records and the price the market is charging.

The line

The longest price on Jan Blachowicz is 3.60 at BetMGM; on Navajo Stirling it is 2.00 at kalshi. Those are the best of 6 books quoting this bout in the feed this site reads.

Reading the market means reading one book's two sides together rather than two books' best halves. The tightest single-book market here is BetMGM, at 3.60 / 1.31: 27.8% for Jan Blachowicz and 76.5% for Navajo Stirling, summing to 104.2% because the book's margin sits inside both figures. Taking that margin back out leaves 26.6% / 73.4%. Prices as recorded at 11:06 UTC on 29 July 2026; a line can move after that.

The records

Jan Blachowicz

  • Stored record: 12-8 (2 NC) over 22 completed bouts.
  • Wins by route: 5 by KO/TKO, 2 by submission, 5 by decision.
  • Finish rate: 7 of 12 wins ended inside the distance (58%).
  • Durability: stopped in 2 of 22 recorded bouts (9%), counted across every bout rather than losses alone.
  • Average bout length: 13:16, from the 22 of 22 bouts with a round and time recorded.
  • Title-fight experience: 4 title bouts and 7 main events in the stored history, across every promotion in it.
  • Activity: 2 completed bouts in the trailing 24 months.
  • Against the Heavyweight cohort — the 498 fighters in that division with eight or more recorded bouts — finish rate 21st, durability 82nd and activity 76th percentile.

Those percentiles are measured against Heavyweight, the division Jan Blachowicz is filed under on this site, not against the Light Heavyweight field this bout is contested in.

Every figure above for Jan Blachowicz is counted from the 22 completed bouts stored in the history on this site. The record listed for Jan Blachowicz is 29-11-2, so the two do not cover the same set of fights.

Navajo Stirling

  • Stored record: 10-0 over 10 completed bouts.
  • Wins by route: 6 by KO/TKO, 0 by submission, 4 by decision.
  • Finish rate: 6 of 10 wins ended inside the distance (60%).
  • Durability: stopped in 0 of 10 recorded bouts (0%), counted across every bout rather than losses alone.
  • Average bout length: 9:48, from the 10 of 10 bouts with a round and time recorded.
  • Current run: 10 straight wins in the stored history.
  • Title-fight experience: 3 title bouts and 4 main events in the stored history, across every promotion in it.
  • Activity: 6 completed bouts in the trailing 24 months.
  • Against the Heavyweight cohort — the 498 fighters in that division with eight or more recorded bouts — finish rate 22nd, durability 91st and activity 97th percentile.

Those percentiles are measured against Heavyweight, the division Navajo Stirling is filed under on this site, not against the Light Heavyweight field this bout is contested in.

Where the records differ

  • finish rate: Navajo Stirling 22nd percentile, Jan Blachowicz 21st — a gap of 1 percentile point to Navajo Stirling.
  • durability: Navajo Stirling 91st percentile, Jan Blachowicz 82nd — a gap of 9 percentile points to Navajo Stirling.
  • activity: Navajo Stirling 97th percentile, Jan Blachowicz 76th — a gap of 21 percentile points to Navajo Stirling.
  • Averaged across those measures Navajo Stirling is 10 percentile points ahead. That is a description of two records against the Heavyweight field, not a forecast: these measures say how a fighter has won and how hard they have been to stop, and neither is a claim about this bout.
About the author
Marcus Boyle

Marcus Boyle

Striking analyst

Works from output and distance. Tracks volume across rounds, how a fighter behaves once the pace lifts, and whether power carries past the opening exchanges. Leans towards finishes when a durability gap is on the table.

House analyst. Marcus Boyle is an editorial voice of this site, not a named individual. The analysis is produced by our editorial team and published under this byline.

Settled picks10 (100% from 1 settled pick)