Uroš Medić vs Daniel Rodriguez preview: what the records show ahead of the Welterweight main event
Uroš Medić vs Daniel Rodriguez at Welterweight, 1 August 2026. Finish rates, durability, streaks and the current moneyline, counted from the records stored here.
Uroš Medić meets Daniel Rodriguez at Welterweight at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, listed as the main event. The card is scheduled for 1 August 2026 at Belgrade Arena in Belgrade, Serbia.
Uroš Medić is ranked #14 at Welterweight in the UFC rankings. Daniel Rodriguez is ranked #15 at Welterweight in the UFC rankings.
Everything below is counted from the bout histories and computed career measures stored on this site. There is no training-camp reporting here and no scouting: this page compares two records and the price the market is charging.
The line
The longest price on Uroš Medić is 1.27 at DraftKings; on Daniel Rodriguez it is 4.10 at BetMGM. Those are the best of 4 books quoting this bout in the feed this site reads.
Reading the market means reading one book's two sides together rather than two books' best halves. The tightest single-book market here is DraftKings, at 1.27 / 3.95: 78.9% for Uroš Medić and 25.3% for Daniel Rodriguez, summing to 104.3% because the book's margin sits inside both figures. Taking that margin back out leaves 75.7% / 24.3%. Prices as recorded at 11:06 UTC on 29 July 2026; a line can move after that.
The records
Uroš Medić
- Stored record: 13-3 over 16 completed bouts.
- Wins by route: 11 by KO/TKO, 2 by submission, 0 by decision.
- Finish rate: 13 of 13 wins ended inside the distance (100%).
- Durability: stopped in 3 of 16 recorded bouts (19%), counted across every bout rather than losses alone.
- Average bout length: 3:21, from the 16 of 16 bouts with a round and time recorded.
- Current run: 3 straight wins in the stored history.
- Title-fight experience: no title bouts in the stored history, 1 main event.
- Activity: 4 completed bouts in the trailing 24 months.
- Against the Welterweight cohort — the 566 fighters in that division with eight or more recorded bouts — finish rate 89th, durability 44th and activity 90th percentile.
Daniel Rodriguez
- Stored record: 20-5 over 25 completed bouts.
- Wins by route: 9 by KO/TKO, 4 by submission, 7 by decision.
- Finish rate: 13 of 20 wins ended inside the distance (65%).
- Durability: stopped in 2 of 25 recorded bouts (8%), counted across every bout rather than losses alone.
- Average bout length: 10:07, from the 25 of 25 bouts with a round and time recorded.
- Current run: 3 straight wins in the stored history.
- Title-fight experience: 1 title bout and 7 main events in the stored history, across every promotion in it.
- Activity: 3 completed bouts in the trailing 24 months.
- Against the Welterweight cohort — the 566 fighters in that division with eight or more recorded bouts — finish rate 43rd, durability 81st and activity 83rd percentile.
Where the records differ
- finish rate: Uroš Medić 89th percentile, Daniel Rodriguez 43rd — a gap of 46 percentile points to Uroš Medić.
- durability: Daniel Rodriguez 81st percentile, Uroš Medić 44th — a gap of 37 percentile points to Daniel Rodriguez.
- activity: Uroš Medić 90th percentile, Daniel Rodriguez 83rd — a gap of 7 percentile points to Uroš Medić.
- Averaged across those measures Uroš Medić is 5 percentile points ahead. That is a description of two records against the Welterweight field, not a forecast: these measures say how a fighter has won and how hard they have been to stop, and neither is a claim about this bout.
